AGI is Already Here, This is How I Know
AI Summary
- Current State of AI
- Belief that we already have AGI as models can think, reason, and plan.
- GPT-4.5 exhibits depth and awareness of context.
- Capabilities include speaking, hearing, seeing, and touch; taste and smell are being developed.
- Capabilities of AI Models
- Increasingly longer memory banks that allow models to utilize previous experiences.
- AI can automate tasks from a mid-managerial level downward.
- Notable Developments
- Google showcasing robotics using LLM to interact in novel environments.
- Examples of tasks like basketball slam dunks with new contexts.
- Implications
- AGI is close to deployment, with billions invested for widespread applications.
- Models are learning faster, potentially at human speeds, allowing for rapid adaptation and updates.
- Future Considerations
- Need for metacognition remains uncertain; implications of such abilities are under discussion.
- Emphasis on understanding leverage in the market rather than specific task skills.
- Final Thoughts
- Importance of foundational resources: community, intelligence, labor, energy, materials.
- Preparing for a future with AI agents capable of extensive automation of jobs.
- Encouragement to adapt and leverage technology effectively for a brighter future.