When will AI automate all mental work, and how fast?
AI Summary
In this video, economist Tom Davidson discusses his 2023 “compute-centric” model which explores when AI might fully automate cognitive labor and the speed of this transition. According to Davidson, the model predicts a median timeline of 2043 for complete automation of human cognitive tasks, with a significant acceleration from 20% to 100% automation occurring within approximately three years. The video invites viewers to delve deeper into the model through interactive resources and highlights various studies and articles that support the findings.